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Aerial view centered on 8251 N 22ND DR PHOENIX, AZ 85021Aerial address reference
Aerial imagery: Esri World Imagery. Marker shows the geocoded address location and is not a parcel-boundary survey. Imagery source ↗

Maricopa County, AZ

8251 N 22nd Dr Phoenix, AZ 85021

Townhouses · 1,414 sq ft · Built 2021 · 1,180 sq ft lot

Recorded notice sale date: Dec 29, 2026 · recheck current trustee status

Potential Flip profit
$25,218

At auction target

Auction target
$232,684

Modeled ceiling — do not exceed without re-underwriting

Resale value
$315,211

Estimated after-repair value

Repair + holding costs
$22,836

County FCV: $282,700 · Record: Official recorder reference retained privately

Pre-Auction Flip

F · Does not pencil

Estimated debt: $350,744

Recorded loan principal
$301,536 (no credit for payments made)
Interest at an assumed 6%
Sep 28, 2025 – Dec 29, 2026
Assumed tax and insurance advances
$16,556
Assumed foreclosure fees
$10,000

Estimate from public loan records reviewed Sep 30, 2026. Actual payoff, other liens and later filings are not verified. Not a payoff quote or title clearance.

Official source retrieved Oct 1, 2026 confirms upcoming sale Dec 29, 2026.

Acquisition screen

Auction targets and potential flip profit

Each target is the highest purchase price that preserves the displayed net profit under that scenario. These are decision limits—not predictions of the auction's starting or winning bid.

conservative case

Maximum purchase price
$129,735
Potential Flip profit
$25,000

Low resale · high repairs · longer hold

target case

Maximum purchase price
$232,684
Potential Flip profit
$25,218

Base resale · base repairs · base hold

aggressive case

Maximum purchase price
$249,691
Potential Flip profit
$15,761

Base resale · low repairs · thinner margin

Estimated costs and holding time

Planning assumptions used in the purchase-target calculations. Verify each cost before bidding.

Repair reserve
$14,140

Blind-condition estimate

Hold period
3 months

estimated

Closing / recording
$2,500

estimated

Title / escrow
$2,200

estimated

Selling cost
7.0%

estimated

Cash required
$66,225

At conservative purchase target

Supplemental hold analysis · preliminary diligence

Rental and Appreciation Outlook

For planning only: not an appraisal, rent guarantee or forecast. It does not change the pre-auction flip grade.

Estimated rent for this home (monthly, rough)
$1,850–$2,650
ZIP 85021 average rent, all rentals
$1,218
Area market outlook
Insufficient data
Data confidence
Insufficient data

Rough estimate from this home's size, calibrated on 94 nearby rental listings (typically within about 18%). No comparable rentals have been collected for this home yet, so it is not used for yields.

Sources and method

Zillow Observed Rent Index across the ZIP rental stock (including multifamily). No property-specific rental comparables or range have been collected.

The area average is never converted into a rent for this home or used for yields.

Source: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) ↗. As of ; checked Aug 29, 2026.

Yields are gross yield before vacancy, repairs, management, taxes, insurance, HOA, utilities, financing, and capital expenditures. Annual rent = typical monthly rent × 12, divided by a verified as-is value or a reviewed all-in cost; they are not cap rates and show only when both inputs are current.

Housing evidence expires after 90 days; last checked Aug 29, 2026.

Rentability and Holding Risks

Property type
Townhouses
Beds / baths
Not in county records
Living area / lot size
1,414 / 1,180 sq ft

Source: Official assessor property facts ↗. As of .

No dated, property-bound rentability findings are available. Rentability, possession, permitted use and insurability are not established.

Still needs verification (17)
  • Property-specific rental comparables and a supported low/high rent range.
  • Occupancy and possession
  • HOA and rental restrictions
  • Flood exposure
  • Insurance availability and cost
  • Zoning and permitted rental use
  • Condition and habitability
  • Permits and code compliance
  • A reliable current monthly rent estimate.
  • Property-specific rent from comparable rentals; the ZIP rent index covers all rentals, including apartments, and is not this home's rent.
  • A source-backed low/high monthly rent range.
  • Yield on as-is value requires a positive, current, verified valuation explicitly identified as as-is.
  • Yield on all-in cost requires a current verified review matching the existing modeled total project cost; cash/equity required is not total cost.
  • At least three distinct, current signals covering supply and demand with aligned comparison dates are required.
  • Bedrooms
  • Bathrooms
  • Lease terms, security deposits, vacancy, management costs, maintenance and capital expenditures before relying on a hold strategy.

Area Appreciation

Geography: Insufficient data — no matched market area/history feed connected. Historical median sale-price changes describe the area, not this property’s appreciation.

1-year median sale-price change

Insufficient data

Confidence: Insufficient data

Comparable median-price history and sufficient transaction counts are unavailable.

3-year median sale-price change

Insufficient data

Confidence: Insufficient data

Comparable median-price history and sufficient transaction counts are unavailable.

5-year median sale-price change

Insufficient data

Confidence: Insufficient data

Comparable median-price history and sufficient transaction counts are unavailable.

How this is measured

At least 20 transactions at each endpoint, comparable periods, and current observations are required. Confidence also reflects sample size and geographic specificity. Changes in the mix of homes sold may move the median.

Forward Market Outlook

Insufficient data

At least three distinct, current signals covering supply and demand with aligned comparison dates are required. No usable dated market signals, so no outlook is given.

Verification

Sources and methodology

Retrieved 2026-10-01T08:23:12.301Z. A current-status receipt is attached. Owner names are not published on this public inventory page.

Decision workspace

Watch it, test your numbers, then clear the blockers.

Your edits stay in this browser and do not change the source record. This is a planning model, not an appraisal or bid recommendation.

Editable underwriting

8251 N 22nd Dr Phoenix, AZ 85021

Download bid sheet
Net resale proceeds
$293,146
Modeled all-in cost
$267,928
Modeled profit
$25,218

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Title & Lien Research Pack

Analyst-reviewed apparent lien priority, recorded-document chain, unresolved exceptions and source links. Not title insurance or a guarantee.

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