Modeled ceiling — do not exceed without re-underwriting
Resale value
$369,000
Estimated after-repair value
Repair + holding costs
Not verified
County FCV: Unknown ·Record: Official recorder reference retained privately
Pre-Auction Flip
Needs senior-loan and HUD partial-claim payoffs
The property and manufactured-home valuation are now matched. A February 2025 HUD partial-claim mortgage records $14,404.39 against the same parcel (218-57-863), in addition to the foreclosing $353,479 loan. Reconcile both current obligations before grading; the recorded claim amount is not a current payoff.
Estimate from public loan records reviewed Sep 22, 2026. Actual payoff, other liens and later filings are not verified. Not a payoff quote or title clearance.
Official source retrieved Oct 1, 2026 confirms upcoming sale Dec 17, 2026.
Acquisition screen
Auction targets and potential flip profit
Each target is the highest purchase price that preserves the displayed net profit under that scenario. These are decision limits—not predictions of the auction's starting or winning bid.
conservative case
Maximum purchase price
Not yet available
Potential Flip profit
Unknown
Low resale · high repairs · longer hold
target case
Maximum purchase price
Not yet available
Potential Flip profit
Unknown
Base resale · base repairs · base hold
aggressive case
Maximum purchase price
Not yet available
Potential Flip profit
Unknown
Base resale · low repairs · thinner margin
Estimated costs and holding time
Planning assumptions used in the purchase-target calculations. Verify each cost before bidding.
Repair reserve
Unknown
unknown
Hold period
Unknown
unknown
Closing / recording
Unknown
unknown
Title / escrow
Unknown
unknown
Selling cost
Unknown
unknown
Cash required
Not yet available
At conservative purchase target
Supplemental hold analysis · preliminary diligence
Rental and Appreciation Outlook
For planning only: not an appraisal, rent guarantee or forecast. It does not change the pre-auction flip grade.
Estimated rent for this home (monthly)
Not yet estimated
HUD fair market rent, 2–4 bed
$1,930–$2,820
Area market outlook
Flat
Data confidence
Insufficient data
Sources and method
Source/research date: unavailable
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent, FY2027 · ZIP 85209
Reference only, not part of the estimate. HUD sets these for the housing voucher program at roughly the 40th percentile of recent-mover rents, including utilities, by bedroom count; effective October 1, 2026. Not a market asking rent and not adjusted for this home.
Yields are gross yield before vacancy, repairs, management, taxes, insurance, HOA, utilities, financing, and capital expenditures. Annual rent = typical monthly rent × 12, divided by a verified as-is value or a reviewed all-in cost; they are not cap rates and show only when both inputs are current.
Housing evidence expires after 90 days; last checked Sep 26, 2026.
Rentability and Holding Risks
Property type
Unavailable
Beds / baths
Not in county records
Living area / lot size
Unavailable / Unavailable sq ft
Source/research date: unavailable
No dated, property-bound rentability findings are available. Rentability, possession, permitted use and insurability are not established.
Still needs verification (18)
Property-specific comparable rentals and supported low/high rents require separate research.
Occupancy and possession
HOA and rental restrictions
Flood exposure
Insurance availability and cost
Zoning and permitted rental use
Condition and habitability
Permits and code compliance
A reliable current monthly rent estimate.
A source-backed low/high monthly rent range.
Yield on as-is value requires a positive, current, verified valuation explicitly identified as as-is.
Yield on all-in cost requires a current verified review matching the existing modeled total project cost; cash/equity required is not total cost.
Property type
Bedrooms
Bathrooms
Living area
Lot size
Lease terms, security deposits, vacancy, management costs, maintenance and capital expenditures before relying on a hold strategy.
Area Appreciation
Geography: ZIP 85209 — all residential (zip). Historical median sale-price changes describe the area, not this property’s appreciation.
1-year median sale-price change
-1.6%
Confidence: Low
136 → 159 sales · Jun 30, 2025 → Jun 30, 2026
3-year median sale-price change
2.0%
Confidence: Low
128 → 159 sales · Jun 30, 2023 → Jun 30, 2026
5-year median sale-price change
10.7%
Confidence: Low
173 → 159 sales · Jun 30, 2021 → Jun 30, 2026
How this is measured
Maricopa County Assessor sales affidavits for this ZIP: single-parcel single-family and condo/townhouse sales with no reject code, unadjusted median of the trailing three recorded months, same ending month compared across years. The file keeps only each parcel's latest recorded sale, so earlier windows omit homes that have resold since; 3- and 5-year changes are limited to Low confidence. Sale mix can affect medians; this is not appreciation of this specific property.
At least 20 transactions at each endpoint, comparable periods, and current observations are required. Confidence also reflects sample size and geographic specificity. Changes in the mix of homes sold may move the median.
Fewer homes for sale: 121 listings a year ago → 110 listings nowlittle change
Homes sell faster: 68 days a year ago → 55 days nowgood for prices
More sellers are cutting prices: 26% of listings a year ago → 30% of listings nowbad for prices
How this is decided
Positive or Weakening needs at least three signals covering supply and demand, with two-thirds pointing the same way and none against; otherwise it is Flat. This is a screen of recent conditions, not a price forecast.
Aerial address reference